Trump’s Incumbent Primary Voter Turnout Points to a Successful 2020 Election


Tuesday, February 25, 2020

President Trump’s record-breaking primary numbers in New Hampshire could signal success in the 2020 presidential election. According to The Washington Examiner, “Turnout for voters supporting President Trump in New Hampshire surpassed the state record for that of any incumbent president over the last 40 years.”

The New Hampshire primaries took place on Tuesday, February 11. Donald Trump reportedly received 129,696 votes. In 2012, former President Barack Obama received 49,080 votes. This was more than doubled by President Trump this past Tuesday. 

This record-breaking number is striking compared to those of other incumbent presidents like George Bush and Bill Clinton. Both still received tens of thousands fewer votes than President Trump.

What does this mean? Well, it certainly indicates high voter enthusiasm among registered republicans, at least in New Hampshire. It also signals that the Republican base is standing behind the ever-controversial President Trump. 

Trump’s number of votes was not the only record broken Tuesday night. The overall turnout in New Hampshire surpassed that of 2008, breaking the previous record. 

President Trump received more votes in a New Hampshire incumbent primary than any other president in history—Republican or Democrat. He was close to setting a record for vote share as well, coming close to Ronald Reagan’s 86.43% in 1984. 

Is Donald Trumps’ record-breaking vote total a result of voter turnout rising over the years or is it an indicator that Republicans support the President and feel strongly enough to show out for him once again? 

It’s true that New Hampshire may not represent the enthusiasm and voter turnout of other states, but some evidence to the contrary is found in the Iowa Caucuses. According to Fox News, “The Trump campaign also touted a record turnout for an incumbent in the Iowa caucuses.” 

Trump’s landslide primary win coupled with the lack of a serious GOP challenger is setting the stage for a Trump reelection in 2020. According to the Washington Post, “Presidents with no internal dissent historically tend to win reelection.”

The president’s popularity within the Republican base can be seen in his standing-room-only rallies. His rallies are always filled, with supporters often camping outside days in advance. His charisma and talent for connecting with his audience leaves an impact on the Republicans in the crowd and also the ones at home watching on television. 

It’s impossible to measure the effect his campaigning efforts have had, but his support is not likely to be dwindling. In fact, many factors may indicate an expected increase in voters for Trump. 

Many conservatives found themselves wary of Mr. Trump. Was he going to support conservative legislation? Well, he has. And the voters have seen that. We can expect some of those careful conservatives to turn out for the president. 

Donald J. Trump has further proven himself to be one of the most pro-life presidents in modern history. He was the only sitting president to ever attend or speak at The March for Life. 

Pro-lifers, an often silenced group in the U.S., will likely show up to the polls to show their support for the president. 

Furthermore, if the Democrats find themselves nominating someone as far left as Senator Bernie Sanders, many moderate Democrats and Republicans who have been eyeing Joe Biden may find themselves voting for Trump. 

All in all, Donald J.Trump’s primary results in New Hampshire were historic and telling. We will have to keep our eyes on the primaries to come in both Nevada and South Carolina, but given the current landscape, 2020 looks good for Mr. Trump.

Julia is a senior at The University of South Carolina studying political science and journalism. In addition to writing for Lone Conservative, she is also a student reporter for The College Fix.

The views expressed in this article are the opinion of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Lone Conservative staff.

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About Julia Johnson

Julia is a senior at The University of South Carolina studying political science and journalism. In addition to writing for Lone Conservative, she is also a student reporter for The College Fix.

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